XAUMO – XAUUSD (gold spot) Tactical Execution Plan – May 4, 2025

XAUMO XAUUSD Tactical Execution Plan – May 4, 2025 (GMT+3)

LETHAL VERSION | STRIKE–DEFEND–KILL MODE

Session Context – Market Liquidity Reality Check

SydneyLow liquidity – ignore
Tokyo (02–06)CLOSED – holiday
HK + Shanghai (06–10)CLOSED – zero liquidity
Frankfurt (10–12)Europe partial, London CLOSED – fake moves possible
NY Open (14:30)First real liquidity
NY+Frankfurt (16–18)ONLY session worth striking
Post-NY (after 21:00)Dead zone – no new entries

XAUMO Final Tactical Map

ZoneRange / LevelNotes
Red3,254–3,269Bearish rejection
Yellow3,240–3,254Trap / sweep
Green3,270+Breakout activation

Final Directives

STRIKE: 15:00–16:00 | DEFEND: 17:00–18:00 | SCALP: 10:00–12:00 (if trap confirmed) | SWING: if 3,270 breakout real

1. Price Action Pattern

  • “M” top across TFs = double‐top rejection
  • Rejection wicks at 3,254–3,269
  • Tight, indecisive candles = supply absorption

2. Range-Bound Behavior

Trapped between 3,254 (mid-resistance) & 3,230 (liquidity support). Chop zone 3,240–3,254: fakeouts clear stops.

3. Indicator Analysis

RSI37–48 (bearish–neutral)
Bollinger BandsTightening → volatility compression
ADX22–32; DI– dominant

4. Trend Analysis

Short-term flat to down; no HH above 3,270. Any pump without volume = fake.

5. Volume Analysis

Volume declining; big candle + low volume = false move. Real strike needs >700K.

6. S&R Zones

Resistance: 3,269–3,270
Support: 3,230 → 3,211 → 3,193

7. Momentum Analysis

Flat to negative; no bullish divergence; all momentum indicators <50.

8. Wave Analysis

Wave 1 ↓ → A–B–C ↑ → Wave 3 upcoming (bearish if 3,230 breaks).

9. Volatility Analysis

ATR/RSI high but declining; expect breakout at NY Open (15:00–16:00).

Hypothetical Order

TypeEntrySLTP1TP2TP3Conf.
Sell Stop3,2303,2453,2113,1933,17987%

Justification: RSI<40, bearish wave, liquidity break, slam candle + volume/momentum.

Backup Setup

If 3,270 breaks with volume + RSI>50 → go LONG. Otherwise SELL remains prime.

Hour-by-Hour WAR PLAN (Cairo GMT+3)

TimeContextAction
09–10Pre-London (Asia dead)Do NOTHING; watch for sweep below 3240
10–11Frankfurt openScalp only on engulfing; Buy Stop 3250 or Sell fade 3260 trap
11–12EU FadeSell Limit 3260–3265 or prep breakout at 3269.5
12–14Pre-NY buildMark VWAP; trust only volume breaks
14–15Pre-NY driftBuy Stop 3270 retest or Sell Limit fake 3270
15–16NY Open — STRIKEBuy 3,270/ Sell 3,230 based on volume + RSI
16–17NY momentumHold/add on pullbacks
17–18NY fadeDefend profits; no new entries
After 18NY driftZero entries; exit/adjust only

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