XAUMO XAUUSD Tactical Execution Plan – May 4, 2025 (GMT+3)
LETHAL VERSION | STRIKE–DEFEND–KILL MODE
Session Context – Market Liquidity Reality Check
| Sydney | Low liquidity – ignore |
| Tokyo (02–06) | CLOSED – holiday |
| HK + Shanghai (06–10) | CLOSED – zero liquidity |
| Frankfurt (10–12) | Europe partial, London CLOSED – fake moves possible |
| NY Open (14:30) | First real liquidity |
| NY+Frankfurt (16–18) | ONLY session worth striking |
| Post-NY (after 21:00) | Dead zone – no new entries |
XAUMO Final Tactical Map
| Zone | Range / Level | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red | 3,254–3,269 | Bearish rejection |
| Yellow | 3,240–3,254 | Trap / sweep |
| Green | 3,270+ | Breakout activation |
Final Directives
STRIKE: 15:00–16:00 | DEFEND: 17:00–18:00 | SCALP: 10:00–12:00 (if trap confirmed) | SWING: if 3,270 breakout real
1. Price Action Pattern
- “M” top across TFs = double‐top rejection
- Rejection wicks at 3,254–3,269
- Tight, indecisive candles = supply absorption
2. Range-Bound Behavior
Trapped between 3,254 (mid-resistance) & 3,230 (liquidity support). Chop zone 3,240–3,254: fakeouts clear stops.
3. Indicator Analysis
| RSI | 37–48 (bearish–neutral) |
| Bollinger Bands | Tightening → volatility compression |
| ADX | 22–32; DI– dominant |
4. Trend Analysis
Short-term flat to down; no HH above 3,270. Any pump without volume = fake.
5. Volume Analysis
Volume declining; big candle + low volume = false move. Real strike needs >700K.
6. S&R Zones
Resistance: 3,269–3,270
Support: 3,230 → 3,211 → 3,193
7. Momentum Analysis
Flat to negative; no bullish divergence; all momentum indicators <50.
8. Wave Analysis
Wave 1 ↓ → A–B–C ↑ → Wave 3 upcoming (bearish if 3,230 breaks).
9. Volatility Analysis
ATR/RSI high but declining; expect breakout at NY Open (15:00–16:00).
Hypothetical Order
| Type | Entry | SL | TP1 | TP2 | TP3 | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sell Stop | 3,230 | 3,245 | 3,211 | 3,193 | 3,179 | 87% |
Justification: RSI<40, bearish wave, liquidity break, slam candle + volume/momentum.
Backup Setup
If 3,270 breaks with volume + RSI>50 → go LONG. Otherwise SELL remains prime.
Hour-by-Hour WAR PLAN (Cairo GMT+3)
| Time | Context | Action |
|---|---|---|
| 09–10 | Pre-London (Asia dead) | Do NOTHING; watch for sweep below 3240 |
| 10–11 | Frankfurt open | Scalp only on engulfing; Buy Stop 3250 or Sell fade 3260 trap |
| 11–12 | EU Fade | Sell Limit 3260–3265 or prep breakout at 3269.5 |
| 12–14 | Pre-NY build | Mark VWAP; trust only volume breaks |
| 14–15 | Pre-NY drift | Buy Stop 3270 retest or Sell Limit fake 3270 |
| 15–16 | NY Open — STRIKE | Buy 3,270/ Sell 3,230 based on volume + RSI |
| 16–17 | NY momentum | Hold/add on pullbacks |
| 17–18 | NY fade | Defend profits; no new entries |
| After 18 | NY drift | Zero entries; exit/adjust only |
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Straight To The Top.
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