| Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $2,785 (VAH) | |
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Market-Maker Logic: Breakout above $2,785 (VAH) signals institutional buying, targeting stops around $2,790-$2,800 (Fibonacci TP Zone). Entry: Buy Stop at $2,786 Take Profit Levels: • $2,790: (Psychological Level & FVG Midpoint) • $2,800: (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%) Stop Loss: $2,771 (POC) Shark Moves: Fake breakouts above $2,790, trap retail longs, then reverse to $2,771 (POC) before the real move continues. | |
| Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below $2,756 (VAL) | |
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Market-Maker Logic: Breaking $2,756 (VAL) lets institutions accumulate lower at $2,740-$2,726 (VWAP & S&R Zones). Entry: Sell Stop at $2,755 Take Profit Levels: • $2,740: (VWAP Lower Band) • $2,726: (S&R Zone and Final Liquidity Pool) Stop Loss: $2,771 (POC) Shark Moves: Sweep stops below $2,740, then reverse aggressively toward $2,771 (POC) for profit-taking. | |
| Scenario 3: Range-Bound Manipulation ($2,756-$2,785) | |
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Market-Maker Logic: Consolidation here means liquidity sweeps on both ends before the real move begins. Playbook: • Short at $2,785 (VAH): Target $2,771 (POC) and $2,756 (VAL). • Buy at $2,756 (VAL): Target $2,771 (POC) and $2,785 (VAH). Stop Loss: $10 beyond entry level. Shark Moves: Trigger fake breakouts on both ends to trap retail traders. | |
| Weekly Market Context: Building the XAUMO Narrative | |
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Previous 3 Weeks Overview Bullish Momentum in Control Strong bullish movement observed, breaking resistance and holding higher zones. XAUMO Insight: Institutional buyers defended $2,656, with $2,700 becoming a critical psychological level. Liquidity Manipulation Market-Maker Moves: Exploitation of liquidity pockets above $2,770 and below $2,756. Retail traders systematically trapped with sudden reversals around VAHs (Value Area Highs) and VALs (Value Area Lows). Volume and POC Interplay Weekly POC ($2,771): Acts as a central magnet, reflecting institutional accumulation and retail indecision. | |
| Current Weekly Trend Analysis | |
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VWAP Anchored Levels (XAUMO Indicator): • Upper Band ($2,785-$2,790): Institutional profit zones • Median VWAP ($2,771): Consolidation magnet • Lower Band ($2,756-$2,740): Institutional buying opportunities Momentum Analysis: • ADX Levels: Moderate strength, favoring cautious continuation • Moving Averages: Price remains above EMA 8 and SMA 50, confirming short-term bullish trends. | |
| Updated XAUMO Key Levels for the Week | |
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Primary Levels of Focus • $2,756 (VAL): Key support level; holding keeps bullish momentum intact; breaking signals potential bearish movement to $2,740. • $2,771 (POC): Central magnet level; expect price consolidation or reversals here. • $2,785 (VAH): Critical breakout level; locking above signals bullish continuation. XAUMO Bullish Targets • $2,785: First resistance level and psychological target for breakout traders. • $2,790-$2,800: Final institutional profit zones. XAUMO Bearish Targets • $2,756: Short-term support zone; potential liquidity grabs expected. • $2,740: Strong buying base for institutions. • $2,726: Ultimate downside liquidity level. | |
| XAUMO Weekly Playbook | |
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Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $2,785 • Logic: Breaking $2,785 signals institutional buying, targeting stop-loss clusters near $2,790 and $2,800. • XAUMO Targets: $2,790 (Retail FOMO trigger), $2,800 (Institutional profit zones). • Shark Moves: Trap breakout buyers near $2,790-$2,800, then reverse sharply to $2,771. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below $2,756 • Logic: Breaking $2,756 triggers retail panic, enabling institutions to accumulate at discounted prices. • XAUMO Targets: $2,740 (Intermediate support), $2,726 (Institutional buying base). • Shark Moves: Sweep stop-losses below $2,740, then reverse aggressively to $2,771. Scenario 3: Range-Bound Play ($2,756-$2,785) • Logic: Indecision in this range allows sharks to exploit both retail buyers and sellers. • XAUMO Playbook: Short at $2,785 (VAH) → Target $2,771, $2,756. Buy at $2,756 (VAL) → Target $2,771, $2,785. • Shark Moves: Fake breakouts and breakdowns to clear stop-losses on both sides. | |
| XAUMO Daily Projections | |
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Monday: Focus on defining weekly range ($2,756-$2,785). Shark Action: Trigger false breakouts to lure retail traders. Tuesday: Attempt breakout or fakeout near key levels. Shark Action: Reverse direction mid-session to trap retail traders. Wednesday: Push price toward $2,790 or $2,740 during session overlaps. Shark Action: Clear stop-losses at mid-week highs/lows. Thursday: Potential reversal day. Watch shifts from mid-week extremes. Shark Action: Create FOMO near mid-week trendlines, then reverse sharply. Friday: Weekly close near $2,771. Shark Action: Use thin liquidity to exaggerate moves and confuse retail traders. | |
| Updated XAUMO Insights from Current Charts | |
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Weekly Narrative & Playbook Remain Intact Immediate Resistance: $2,785 (local high). Immediate Support: $2,756 (near consolidation lows). Bullish Scenario Confidence: 75% likelihood of a breakout targeting $2,800. Bearish Scenario Confidence: 60% likelihood of a correction toward $2,740. Leverage XAUMO Indicator for precision trading at these key levels. | |
| Final Notes for XAUMO Traders | |
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Monitor Key Metrics: • VWAP Bands: $2,740-$2,785 • Volume surges & ADX momentum (>25) Anticipate Market-Maker Tactics: • Liquidity sweeps at $2,785 (upside) & $2,756 (downside). • Retail traps with fake breakouts & sudden reversals. This XAUMO Weekly Report ensures you trade with the sharks, not against them. |
| XAUMO’s Institutional Roadmap for XAUUSD: Jan 27 – Jan 31, 2025 | |
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| This roadmap is designed for precision trading with the sharks, using institutional moves to your advantage. Here’s the revised playbook based on real-time levels from this session’s charts. | |
| 1. The Institutional Game Plan for the Week | |
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Big Picture: • Mon-Wed: Hunt liquidity below $2,735; fake resistance near $2,770 to trap retail. • Thu-Fri: Position for a major move on Friday’s US Core PCE, possibly driving above $2,785 or below $2,735. Key Weekly Levels: • Support: $2,735, $2,725, $2,709 • Resistance: $2,770, $2,785 | |
| 2. The Day-by-Day Roadmap | |
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The Imaginary Road to Friday • Mon-Tue: Liquidity sweeps below $2,735, consolidation near $2,770. • Wed: Breakout above $2,770 → Target $2,785-$2,790. • Thu: Hover around $2,770 ahead of data. • Fri: Big data-driven move (US Core PCE). Monday (Jan 27, 2025): • Key Event: China’s Q4 GDP (Asian Session). • Institutions may raid liquidity below $2,735 or fake a breakout above $2,770. Tuesday (Jan 28, 2025): • Key Event: Eurozone ZEW Sentiment. • Expect more consolidation & possible sweeps near $2,735-$2,770. Wednesday (Jan 29, 2025): • Key Event: US Existing Home Sales. • Potential breakout above $2,770 → $2,785-$2,790. Thursday (Jan 30, 2025): • Key Event: ECB Rate Decision. • Institutions rebalance near $2,770 before Friday data. Friday (Jan 31, 2025): • Key Event: US Core PCE. • Climax of the week: If PCE is lower, expect a push above $2,785; if higher, a drop below $2,770. | |
| 3. How to Trade With the Sharks | |
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• Follow Volume: Weak volume often = fake move; strong volume often = institutional-backed. • Wait for Retest: Don’t chase breakouts; confirm levels like $2,770 or $2,735 hold. • Avoid the Obvious: Institutions hunt stop clusters near $2,735 & $2,785. Discipline & patience are key to trading with the sharks, not against them. |
Straight To The Top.
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