The XAU/USD (Gold Spot to US Dollar) closed at $2,641.35 per troy ounce

GOLD CHART. MCKVAY
1. Last Night Close Summary
DateJanuary 3, 2025
Closing Price$2,641.35 per troy ounce
Daily Change-0.51% (from previous close of $2,654.78)
2. Intraday Performance
Opening Price$2,650.00 (approx.)
Daily High$2,665.34
Daily Low$2,639.18
3. Key Drivers Behind Price Movements
Central Bank PolicyExpectations for rate hikes or pauses continue to influence gold prices.
USD StrengthA slight uptick in the US Dollar Index (DXY) added mild downward pressure.
Geopolitical FactorsNo major escalations; safe-haven demand remained relatively steady.
Profit-TakingSome investors took profits after a strong December 2024 rally near $2,700.
LiquidityYear-end and holiday-season conditions may lead to choppy trading.
4. Technical Analysis Snapshot
Support Levels
  • S1: $2,630
  • S2: $2,600 (psychological level)
Resistance Levels
  • R1: $2,665
  • R2: $2,700 (key psychological level)
Momentum IndicatorsRSI near 50-55 (neutral). 50-day MA above 200-day MA, indicating a longer-term uptrend.
5. Market Outlook
Short-TermTraders await economic data; a strong USD could cap gold near $2,665.
Medium-TermUncertainty about global growth and interest rates keeps gold in a volatile but generally supported range.
Long-TermOngoing economic uncertainty, central bank gold-buying, and inflation concerns may support prices in 2025.
6. Risks and Considerations
USD VolatilitySharp moves in the Dollar Index can quickly change gold’s direction.
Economic Data SurprisesStronger data may spur further rate hikes, limiting gold’s upside.
Geopolitical DevelopmentsMajor conflicts or resolutions can rapidly shift safe-haven demand.
7. Actionable Insights / Strategies
Buying on DipsBullish traders may look to buy near $2,630 or $2,600 with tight stops.
Range TradingIf prices remain in a $2,600–$2,700 band, traders can buy at support and sell at resistance.
Hedging StrategiesInvestors may hold gold as a hedge against equity volatility, noting its typical inverse correlation with currencies.
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Sources
  1. Bloomberg Terminal
  2. Reuters
  3. Investopedia
  4. Mckvay
  5. MarketWatch
  6. DailyForex
  7. MacroTrends
  8. Trading Economics
  9. Acuity Knowledge Partners
  10. Longforecast.com
  11. Cboe Global Markets
  12. TradingView
  13. Central Bank Websites
  14. World Gold Council
  15. Refinitiv Eikon

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