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“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.”

J.P. Morgan

“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.”

J.P. Morgan

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Gold Weekly Summary – April 17, 2025
Overview:As of April 17, 2025, gold prices experienced notable volatility, climbing to a new all-time high before retreating due to profit-taking and market shifts.
Weekly Performance:
  • Record High: $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and tariff fears
  • Closing Price: $3,321.89 per ounce (↓ 0.6% on the day, ↑ 2.7% for the week)
  • U.S. Gold Futures: $3,335.60 per ounce (↓ 0.3% daily)
Key Drivers:
  1. Geopolitical Tensions & Tariffs: New U.S. tariff probes targeting critical sectors raised fears of inflation and slowed growth. Fed Chair Powell’s warnings added to investor anxiety.
  2. Profit-Taking: Following the price peak, some investors locked in gains, a typical behavior at record levels.
  3. Currency Impact: A modest rebound in the U.S. dollar reduced international gold demand due to higher relative costs.
Market Outlook:
  • Goldman Sachs: Revised year-end forecast to $3,100/oz based on central bank demand and inflation risk.
  • Citi Research: Raised 3-month target to $3,500/oz citing strong Chinese insurer demand and global uncertainty.
  • Investor Sentiment: Remains bullish despite temporary correction, as gold’s hedge value remains intact.
Conclusion: Gold’s trajectory this week highlights the ongoing influence of geopolitical shifts, monetary policy, and investor psychology. While short-term fluctuations are natural, long-term fundamentals remain strong.
Disclaimer

The information and recommendations provided on this platform are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as personalized investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments.

1. No Guarantee of Profit:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk, and there is no guarantee of profit or protection against losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2. Independent Decision-Making:
All investment decisions are your sole responsibility. You are encouraged to perform your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.

3. Market Risks:
Financial markets are subject to volatility, economic conditions, and unforeseen factors that may impact your investments.

4. No Liability:
Mckvay Consulting will not be held liable for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. Use the recommendations at your own risk.

5. Educational Purpose Only:
The recommendations are intended to provide insight into market trends and strategies, not to serve as actionable investment directives.

By using this platform, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this disclaimer and accept the associated risks of trading. Always trade responsibly and within your financial means.

Sources
  1. Bloomberg Terminal
  2. Reuters
  3. Investopedia
  4. Mckvay
  5. MarketWatch
  6. DailyForex
  7. MacroTrends
  8. Trading Economics
  9. Acuity Knowledge Partners
  10. Longforecast.com
  11. Cboe Global Markets
  12. TradingView
  13. Central Bank Websites
  14. World Gold Council
  15. Refinitiv Eikon

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XAU/USD
OVERVIEW

XAU/USD is the trading symbol for Gold priced in US dollars, representing one troy ounce of gold’s value in the global currency market. It is one of the most actively traded commodities, particularly favored during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical instability. As a safe-haven asset, gold offers investors and traders a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility. The price of XAU/USD is heavily influenced by the strength of the US dollar, as the two generally share an inverse relationship. A strong US dollar often pushes gold prices lower, while a weaker dollar makes gold more attractive to investors, increasing its price. Additionally, interest rates play a significant role; since gold does not yield interest or dividends, higher rates typically reduce its appeal, whereas lower rates can lead to higher demand.

Gold’s price is also impacted by global economic indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, and reports like Non-Farm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Central bank policies, particularly those of the Federal Reserve, are closely monitored by traders, as decisions on interest rates and monetary easing can directly influence XAU/USD movements. Furthermore, geopolitical events like wars, political tensions, and pandemics often drive demand for gold as investors seek stability in uncertain times. The global demand for gold, especially from major markets like China and India, further affects prices through its industrial, jewelry, and investment uses.

Trading XAU/USD offers various opportunities, including spot trading, contracts for difference (CFDs), futures, options, and ETFs that track gold prices. Spot trading and CFDs are popular among forex traders for their liquidity and leverage, while futures and ETFs attract longer-term investors. Traders employ a variety of strategies such as trend trading, range trading, and breakout trading, often supported by technical tools like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamental analysis is equally crucial, requiring traders to monitor economic data, Federal Reserve announcements, and global news that could influence gold’s value.

To trade XAU/USD effectively, traders should manage risks carefully by using stop-loss orders and avoiding excessive leverage. Timing is also essential, as gold tends to be most active during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions. Staying informed about macroeconomic and geopolitical developments is vital, as these factors can trigger significant price movements. With its high liquidity and the unique dynamics between gold and the US dollar, XAU/USD remains a favorite instrument for traders looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on the opportunities in the global markets.

XAU/USD
OVERVIEW

XAU/USD is the trading symbol for Gold priced in US dollars, representing one troy ounce of gold’s value in the global currency market. It is one of the most actively traded commodities, particularly favored during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical instability. As a safe-haven asset, gold offers investors and traders a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility. The price of XAU/USD is heavily influenced by the strength of the US dollar, as the two generally share an inverse relationship. A strong US dollar often pushes gold prices lower, while a weaker dollar makes gold more attractive to investors, increasing its price. Additionally, interest rates play a significant role; since gold does not yield interest or dividends, higher rates typically reduce its appeal, whereas lower rates can lead to higher demand.

Gold’s price is also impacted by global economic indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, and reports like Non-Farm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Central bank policies, particularly those of the Federal Reserve, are closely monitored by traders, as decisions on interest rates and monetary easing can directly influence XAU/USD movements. Furthermore, geopolitical events like wars, political tensions, and pandemics often drive demand for gold as investors seek stability in uncertain times. The global demand for gold, especially from major markets like China and India, further affects prices through its industrial, jewelry, and investment uses.

Trading XAU/USD offers various opportunities, including spot trading, contracts for difference (CFDs), futures, options, and ETFs that track gold prices. Spot trading and CFDs are popular among forex traders for their liquidity and leverage, while futures and ETFs attract longer-term investors. Traders employ a variety of strategies such as trend trading, range trading, and breakout trading, often supported by technical tools like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamental analysis is equally crucial, requiring traders to monitor economic data, Federal Reserve announcements, and global news that could influence gold’s value.

To trade XAU/USD effectively, traders should manage risks carefully by using stop-loss orders and avoiding excessive leverage. Timing is also essential, as gold tends to be most active during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions. Staying informed about macroeconomic and geopolitical developments is vital, as these factors can trigger significant price movements. With its high liquidity and the unique dynamics between gold and the US dollar, XAU/USD remains a favorite instrument for traders looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on the opportunities in the global markets.

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