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“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.”

J.P. Morgan

“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.”

J.P. Morgan

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Gold (XAU/USD) — Weekly Wrap | Week Ending Aug 23, 2025 (Jackson Hole Week)

1) Prices & Weekly Move

  • Spot gold (XAU/USD): $3,373.89/oz at 1:31 p.m. ET (17:31 GMT) Fri, Aug 22, +1.1% on the day after Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks.
  • COMEX Dec futures (GCZ5): $3,418.50/oz settlement on Fri, +1.1% on the day.
  • Weekly change (London LBMA PM fix): $3,334.25/oz on Aug 22 vs $3,335.50 on Aug 15 → ~-0.04% (virtually flat).

Note: U.S. spot/futures rallied late Friday on Powell’s speech, but LBMA fix is set earlier in the day, providing the cleanest week-over-week benchmark.

2) What Drove the Week

  • Jackson Hole — Powell’s “balance of risks” tilt: Markets read his remarks as raising odds of a September cut → USD fell ~1% Friday → Gold rallied (spot +1.1%, futures +1.1%).
  • Rate-cut probabilities: CME FedWatch odds for a 25 bp September cut climbed to ~85% post-speech (from ~75%).
  • Earlier in the week:
    • Tue (Aug 19): Dollar firmed → Spot -0.4% ($3,317.71); Futures -0.6% ($3,358.7).
    • Wed (Aug 20): Dollar eased → Spot +0.9% ($3,344.37); Futures +0.9% ($3,388.50).

3) Market Tone by Category

  • Dollar & Yields: USD down ~1% Friday; lower yields improved bullion’s appeal.
  • Physical/Regional: Asian demand muted during August volatility; activity subdued into Jackson Hole week until Friday’s easing.
  • Benchmarks: LBMA PM (Aug 22): $3,334.25 vs Aug 15: $3,335.50.

4) Technical Snapshot

Gold oscillated into Jackson Hole; Powell’s remarks triggered bounce. Key focus: $3,340–$3,380.
A close above ~$3,380 opens path to $3,400+; failure below ~$3,340 reopens range trade.

5) Weekly Reference Table

ItemFri Aug 22 (U.S. session)W/W Change Note
Spot gold (intra-U.S.)$3,373.89/oz (+1.1% D/D)Late-day rally post-Powell drove close higher.
COMEX Dec futures settle$3,418.50/oz (+1.1% D/D)Same driver: Powell’s tone shift.
LBMA Gold PM (benchmark)$3,334.25/oz≈-0.04% W/W (vs $3,335.50 on Aug 15).

Bottom Line

  • Headline: Jackson Hole tone boosted September cut odds, sparking Friday’s U.S. rally.
  • Weekly Tally: LBMA benchmark shows gold essentially flat week-over-week due to fix timing vs. late Friday surge.
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Sources
  1. Bloomberg Terminal
  2. Reuters
  3. Investopedia
  4. Mckvay
  5. MarketWatch
  6. DailyForex
  7. MacroTrends
  8. Trading Economics
  9. Acuity Knowledge Partners
  10. Longforecast.com
  11. Cboe Global Markets
  12. TradingView
  13. Central Bank Websites
  14. World Gold Council
  15. Refinitiv Eikon

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XAU/USD
OVERVIEW

XAU/USD is the trading symbol for Gold priced in US dollars, representing one troy ounce of gold’s value in the global currency market. It is one of the most actively traded commodities, particularly favored during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical instability. As a safe-haven asset, gold offers investors and traders a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility. The price of XAU/USD is heavily influenced by the strength of the US dollar, as the two generally share an inverse relationship. A strong US dollar often pushes gold prices lower, while a weaker dollar makes gold more attractive to investors, increasing its price. Additionally, interest rates play a significant role; since gold does not yield interest or dividends, higher rates typically reduce its appeal, whereas lower rates can lead to higher demand.

Gold’s price is also impacted by global economic indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, and reports like Non-Farm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Central bank policies, particularly those of the Federal Reserve, are closely monitored by traders, as decisions on interest rates and monetary easing can directly influence XAU/USD movements. Furthermore, geopolitical events like wars, political tensions, and pandemics often drive demand for gold as investors seek stability in uncertain times. The global demand for gold, especially from major markets like China and India, further affects prices through its industrial, jewelry, and investment uses.

Trading XAU/USD offers various opportunities, including spot trading, contracts for difference (CFDs), futures, options, and ETFs that track gold prices. Spot trading and CFDs are popular among forex traders for their liquidity and leverage, while futures and ETFs attract longer-term investors. Traders employ a variety of strategies such as trend trading, range trading, and breakout trading, often supported by technical tools like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamental analysis is equally crucial, requiring traders to monitor economic data, Federal Reserve announcements, and global news that could influence gold’s value.

To trade XAU/USD effectively, traders should manage risks carefully by using stop-loss orders and avoiding excessive leverage. Timing is also essential, as gold tends to be most active during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions. Staying informed about macroeconomic and geopolitical developments is vital, as these factors can trigger significant price movements. With its high liquidity and the unique dynamics between gold and the US dollar, XAU/USD remains a favorite instrument for traders looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on the opportunities in the global markets.

XAU/USD
OVERVIEW

XAU/USD is the trading symbol for Gold priced in US dollars, representing one troy ounce of gold’s value in the global currency market. It is one of the most actively traded commodities, particularly favored during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical instability. As a safe-haven asset, gold offers investors and traders a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility. The price of XAU/USD is heavily influenced by the strength of the US dollar, as the two generally share an inverse relationship. A strong US dollar often pushes gold prices lower, while a weaker dollar makes gold more attractive to investors, increasing its price. Additionally, interest rates play a significant role; since gold does not yield interest or dividends, higher rates typically reduce its appeal, whereas lower rates can lead to higher demand.

Gold’s price is also impacted by global economic indicators such as inflation rates, GDP growth, and reports like Non-Farm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Central bank policies, particularly those of the Federal Reserve, are closely monitored by traders, as decisions on interest rates and monetary easing can directly influence XAU/USD movements. Furthermore, geopolitical events like wars, political tensions, and pandemics often drive demand for gold as investors seek stability in uncertain times. The global demand for gold, especially from major markets like China and India, further affects prices through its industrial, jewelry, and investment uses.

Trading XAU/USD offers various opportunities, including spot trading, contracts for difference (CFDs), futures, options, and ETFs that track gold prices. Spot trading and CFDs are popular among forex traders for their liquidity and leverage, while futures and ETFs attract longer-term investors. Traders employ a variety of strategies such as trend trading, range trading, and breakout trading, often supported by technical tools like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamental analysis is equally crucial, requiring traders to monitor economic data, Federal Reserve announcements, and global news that could influence gold’s value.

To trade XAU/USD effectively, traders should manage risks carefully by using stop-loss orders and avoiding excessive leverage. Timing is also essential, as gold tends to be most active during the overlap of the London and New York trading sessions. Staying informed about macroeconomic and geopolitical developments is vital, as these factors can trigger significant price movements. With its high liquidity and the unique dynamics between gold and the US dollar, XAU/USD remains a favorite instrument for traders looking to diversify their portfolios and capitalize on the opportunities in the global markets.

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