
Expanded EGX30 Technical Analysis Report
- Market: EGX30 Index (EGP)
- Published: April 19, 2025
- Analyst Commentary: Multi‑timeframe, indicator‑supported breakdown with emphasis on structure, momentum, and projected zones.
1. Weekly Chart Breakdown (Top Left)
- 🟢 Bullish Candle Formation:
- The current weekly candle closed higher than the previous one, forming a bullish continuation after bouncing from ~30,000 EGP lows.
- Volume: 661.36M suggests strong institutional interest during rebound.
- 🔄 Market Structure:
- Weekly trend remains bullish, following a clear V‑shaped recovery from mid‑March.
- A higher low vs. February indicates a new base for an upward leg.
- 📉 Moving Averages:
- SMA(10): 31,103 EGP (price just above)
- SMA(50): 29,790 EGP (well below)
- Short‑term MA flattening but still tilting up—consistent with a maturing uptrend.
- 🎯 Weekly Resistance/Support:
- Immediate Resistance: ~31,300 (Wick High)
- Support Zone: 30,600–30,900
- Weekly close above 31,300 could ignite further bullish momentum.
2. Indicators Analysis (Top Right)
- RSI: 49.19, near key pivot of 50—on the verge of sentiment shift.
- ADX: 52.19—strong trend presence, +DI > -DI signalling bull control.
- Stochastic RSI: Recovering from oversold (~39), no clean bullish crossover yet.
- ATR (14‑period): 480 pts—moderately low volatility near breakout zones.
3. Daily Chart Analysis (Bottom Left)
- Price hovered ~31,000 between April 15–17, forming support.
- April 17 closed as a bullish candle with long lower wick, rejecting 30,900 zone.
- Price now squeezed between 30,850 (support) and 31,150 (resistance); inside candle implies indecision.
4. 4H Intraday Breakdown (Bottom Right)
- Current Price: 31,063 (+3.46% intraday)
- Tested PDH and now challenging PMH (31,750) & PWH.
- Supply zone marked 31,100–31,750 with multiple past rejections.
| Level | Description | Value (EGP) |
|---|---|---|
| PMH | Prev. Month High (Resistance) | 31,750 |
| PDH | Prev. Day High (Current Resistance) | 31,063 |
| PDL | Prev. Day Low (Support) | 30,968 |
| PML | Prev. Month Low | 30,457 |
| PWL | Prev. Week Low | 30,250 |
| EQ | Equilibrium | ~30,500 |
- All 4H SMAs (20/50/200) align bullish—confirming medium‑term upward bias.
🔮 Strategic Forecast
- ✅ Bullish Case:
- Trigger: Confirmed close above 31,300 (weekly/daily).
- Targets: 31,750 → 32,000+
- Support: 30,900 / 30,457
- ⚠️ Bearish Contingency:
- Risk: Rejection from supply zone (PMH/PWH).
- Pullback Zones: 30,750 → 30,500 → 30,250
- Lower RSI & unconfirmed Stochastic may lead to brief consolidation.
✅ Final Thoughts
The EGX30 Index is set up for a potential breakout after this constructive recovery. Watch 31,300–31,750 for historical supply. A decisive push above could lead toward 32,000+, while failure may see a minor retracement.
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Sources
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Reuters
- Investopedia
- Mckvay
- MarketWatch
- DailyForex
- MacroTrends
- Trading Economics
- Acuity Knowledge Partners
- Longforecast.com
- Cboe Global Markets
- TradingView
- Central Bank Websites
- World Gold Council
- Refinitiv Eikon
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Straight To The Top.
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