a href=”https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/mAHLibxp/”>
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis| Overall Market Context |
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| Description | XAU/USD is currently ranging between $2,650 (VWAP Lower Band) and $2,680 (VAH). |
| Institutional Liquidity |
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| Resistance | $2,680 |
| Support | $2,650 |
| Current Trend | The uptrend remains intact above $2,670 (POC), but there are short-term signs of weakness. |
| Strategy Overview |
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| Liquidity Traps | - Above $2,680 to trigger sell positions.
- Below $2,650 to trigger buy positions.
Use VWAP, POC, and VAH/VAL zones as key levels for scalping or swing trading.
Confirm trades using multi-timeframe analysis and volume analysis. |
| Scenarios |
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| Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout |
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| Signal | Price breaks and holds above $2,680 (VAH) with volume confirmation. | | Trade Type | Buy Stop | | Entry | $2,681 | | Stop Loss | $2,675 | | Take-Profit Targets |
TP1: $2,685 (Daily High) – Confidence: 90%
TP2: $2,692 (Fibonacci Extension 141.4%) – Confidence: 85%
TP3: $2,700 (Psychological Level) – Confidence: 70% | | Stop Adjustment |
– Move to breakeven after TP1
– Then move to $2,685 after TP2 |
|
| Scenario 2: Bearish Liquidity Trap |
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| Signal | Price moves above $2,680 but fails to hold, forming a bearish candle (e.g., Shooting Star). | | Trade Type | Sell Limit | | Entry | $2,680 | | Stop Loss | $2,685 | | Take-Profit Targets |
TP1: $2,670 (POC) – Confidence: 90%
TP2: $2,658 (VAL) – Confidence: 85%
TP3: $2,650 (VWAP Lower Band) – Confidence: 75% | | Stop Adjustment |
– Move SL to $2,675 after TP1
– Then move SL to $2,665 after TP2 |
|
| Scenario 3: Bounce from Support |
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| Signal | Price dips below $2,650 (VWAP Lower Band) but fails to break, forming a bullish reversal candle (Morning Star). | | Trade Type | Buy Limit | | Entry | $2,650 | | Stop Loss | $2,645 | | Take-Profit Targets |
TP1: $2,658 (VAL) – Confidence: 90%
TP2: $2,670 (POC) – Confidence: 85%
TP3: $2,676 (VWAP Upper Band) – Confidence: 75% | | Stop Adjustment |
– Move SL to $2,655 after TP1
– Then move SL to $2,665 after TP2 |
|
| Scenario 4: Bearish Breakout |
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| Signal | Price breaks and holds below $2,650 with volume confirmation. | | Trade Type | Sell Stop | | Entry | $2,649 | | Stop Loss | $2,655 | | Take-Profit Targets |
TP1: $2,640 (Fibonacci 78.6%) – Confidence: 85%
TP2: $2,633 (Institutional Support) – Confidence: 80%
TP3: $2,625 (Extended Liquidity Zone) – Confidence: 70% | | Stop Adjustment |
– Move SL to breakeven after TP1
– Then move SL to $2,645 after TP2 |
|
| Key Gold Levels on TradingView |
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| POC (Point of Control) | $2,670 |
| VAH (Value Area High) | $2,680 |
| VAL (Value Area Low) | $2,650 |
| VWAP Bands |
Upper Band: $2,676
Lower Band: $2,650 |
